Bulls vs. Heat Preview: Expert Odds Analysis & Predictions

The Miami Heat (9-6) go up against the Chicago Bulls (8-6) on November 21, 2025 at United Center. Friday’s matchup between the Bulls and the Heat features the Bulls as moderate 2.5-point favorites. A 249.5-point total has been set for the game.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Bulls-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Bulls vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• • When: Friday, November 21, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: United Center in Chicago, Illinois
  • TV: FDSSUN and CHSN+
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Bulls vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Bulls (- 2.5)
O/U Pick: Under (249.5)
Score Prediction: Bulls 123 – Heat 120

Bulls vs. Heat Betting Insights

• • This season, the Bulls games have finished over 249.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total, five (out of 14) times.
  • Six of the Heat’s 15 games this season have had more than 249.5 total points scored.
  • The Bulls and the Heat combine to average 4.2 fewer points per game than the over/under of 249.5 set for this game.
  • The Bulls and the Heat have seen their opponents average a combined 7.8 fewer points per game than the point total of 249.5 set for this matchup.
  • Chicago has won three of the five contests in which it was the favorite this year.
  • Miami has been an underdog in 10 games this season and has come away with the win five times (50%) in those contests.
  • Chicago has taken three of its last four head-to-head meetings with Miami.
  • The Bulls have an advantage against the spread as well (3-1) when hitting the court against the Heat.

Bulls Recent Trends

• • The Bulls have played 14 games, with eight wins against the spread.
  • This season, Chicago has just one against the spread win in three games as a favorite of 2.5 points or more.
  • Bulls games this year have gone over the total in nine out of 15 opportunities (60%).
  • The Bulls score only 1.9 more points per game (121.7) than the Heat allow (119.8).
  • Chicago has a 5-2 record against the spread and a 5-2 record overall when putting up more than 119.8 points.
  • The Bulls are shooting 48.0% from the field this season, 4.6 percentage points higher than the 43.4% the Heat allow to opponents.
  • When playing at home, the Bulls own a better record against the spread (5-0-1) compared to their ATS record in road games (3-5-0).
  • When it comes to point totals, Chicago hits the over more consistently in home games, as it has gone over the total four times in six opportunities this season (66.7%). In away games, it has hit the over five times in eight opportunities (62.5%).
  • The Bulls have played better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, sporting a home record of 2-0, compared to going 1-2 on the road.

Bulls Recent Stats

Bulls Leaders

• • Josh Giddey averages 20.8 points, 9.8 boards and 9.7 assists per game, shooting 46.6% from the field and 37.3% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game.
  • Nikola Vucevic posts 16.6 points, 9.9 boards and 3.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.5 blocks.
  • Matas Buzelis averages 14.7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 48.1% from the floor and 40.3% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made treys per game.
  • Kevin Huerter puts up 13.5 points, 3.9 boards and 2.7 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocks.
  • Tre Jones averages 13.3 points, 5.5 assists and 4.0 rebounds.

Bulls Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• • The Heat are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
  • Miami and its opponents have combined to score an average of 238.3 combined points in its last 10 games, 11.2 less than the 249.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • In the Heat’s 15 games this year, they have 10 wins against the spread.
  • So far this year, Miami has been installed as underdogs by a 2.5-point margin or more 10 times and are 6-3-1 ATS in those contests.
  • Heat games this season have gone over the total in nine of 15 opportunities (60%).
  • The Heat score only 1.7 more points per game (123.6) than the Bulls give up (121.9).
  • When it scores more than 121.9 points, Miami is 5-1 against the spread and 5-1 overall.
  • The Heat’s 48.3% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.5 percentage points higher than the Bulls have allowed to their opponents (46.8%).
  • In 2025-26 against the spread, the Heat have a better winning percentage at home (.875, 7-1-0 record) than on the road (.429, 3-3-1).
  • In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Miami’s games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, four of eight) compared to on the road (71.4%, five of seven).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• • On a per-game basis, Jaime Jaquez Jr. gets the Heat 16.8 points, 6.7 rebounds and 5.3 assists. He also averages 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
  • Kel’el Ware is putting up 10.9 points, 10.0 rebounds and 0.7 assists per game. He’s sinking 52.4% of his shots from the field.
  • Norman Powell is putting up 25.4 points, 4.0 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game. He is draining 49.5% of his shots from the floor and 47.0% from beyond the arc (seventh in league), with 3.3 triples per contest (ninth in NBA).
  • Davion Mitchell is putting up 10.2 points, 2.7 rebounds and 7.3 assists per contest. He is sinking 50.0% of his shots from the floor and 40.0% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 treys per contest.
  • Bam Adebayo is putting up 19.9 points, 8.0 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest. He is sinking 46.0% of his shots from the floor and 37.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 triples per game.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.